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The week in the market · 21 September to 27 September 2026

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A closed UTC week, written once and never rewritten. UTC weeks, Monday 10am AEST to Monday 10am AEST.

21,217

price cuts · against 2,281 rises · median cut $1,000 · once per car per day

11,590

cars left the market
$444,437,876 in final asking prices, all bases as advertised
of which at least 5,552 carry the seller’s own proof

In brief

  1. 1Exits ran down 11.0% (−866) on the 7 days before: 7,001 cars on the daily series against 7,867; at least 5,552 of the week's 11,590 carry the seller's own proof of sale.
  2. 2Dealers cut 14,460 cars' prices against 1,646 rises: 1.32 cuts a day per 100 cars live, down 11.2% on the 7 days before; the median cut was $1,000.
  3. 3The median used asking price closed at $27,990 over 98,983 cars, unchanged on the 7 days before, bases mixed as advertised.
  4. 4ACT's median used ask moved most, up 4.0% to $24,950 over 1,856 cars; SA, QLD, NSW, TAS held within half a percent.
  5. 5Ford Ranger led the market out with 1,363 proved exits, down 3.7% (−53); Kia Sportage rose fastest among the twelve, up 44.6% (+148).
  6. 6Electric cars' median used ask closed at $42,990 over 3,892 cars, unchanged; their proved exits down 12.2% (−49).

computed from the figures below, each with its count; nothing is a forecast

Against the period before

Against the 7 days before, 14 Sept to 20 Sept: 7 of 7 days recorded in each window. Flows are summed over recorded days, levels read on the last; a comparison the windows cannot bear is left blank with its reason.

This period against the 7 days before, 2026-09-14 to 2026-09-20: cars that left the market, of them proved, cars cut, cars with a rise, cars live at close and the median used ask at close, with the change and, where the windows recorded different numbers of days, the figures per recorded day.
MeasureThis periodthe 7 days beforeChangePer recorded day
Cars that left the market · cars, one per vehicle7,0017,867down 11.0% (−866)—
Of them, proved by the seller's page · cars5,5526,396down 13.2% (−844)—
Cars with a price cut · cars, once per car per day14,46016,243down 11.0% (−1,783)—
Cars with a price rise · cars, once per car per day1,6462,365down 30.4% (−719)—
Cars live at close · cars on the last recorded day157,067156,655up 0.3% (+412)—
Median used asking price at close · one price per car, bases mixed$27,990$27,990unchanged—
Median days advertised at exit · proved exits with a published age, 5,047 and 4,721 cars32d34ddown 5.9% (−2d)—

7,001 cars left the market in the latest window of the last eight weeks

Cars that left the market, one per vehicle, summed over each window's recorded days, the last eight weeks · cars · n = 52,632 · as at 27 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · a hollow bar is a window not fully recorded and a tick is a window before the series began; never filled in

7,001 cars left the market in the latest window of the last eight weeks

Source: the daily roll-up, by window.

14,460 cars cut in the latest window of the last eight weeks

Cars repriced down, once per car per day, summed over each window's recorded days, the last eight weeks · cars · n = 121,147 · as at 27 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · same marks as the exits chart

14,460 cars cut in the latest window of the last eight weeks

Source: the daily roll-up, by window.

Against the 7 days before: exits down 11.0%, proved exits down 13.2%, cuts down 11.0%, rises down 30.4%; cars live at close up 0.3%; the median used ask unchanged; median days to sell down 5.9%.

Exits ran down 11.0% against the 7 days before

Running total of cars that left the market, day by day, this period in ink and the 7 days before in grey on the same days · cars · n = 7,001 · as at 27 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · a line stops where a day was not recorded

Exits ran down 11.0% against the 7 days before

Source: the daily roll-up, this window and the one before.

ACT's median used ask moved most, up 4.0% to $24,950

Median used asking price by state, the 7 days before against this period, states with 1,000 or more priced cars both sides · dollars · n = 7 · as at 27 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · asking prices as advertised, bases mixed, one price per car; a state's median can move because the yards it watches changed, not only because sellers repriced

ACT's median used ask moved most, up 4.0% to $24,950

Source: the daily state roll-up, each window's last recorded day.

Cars that left the market · top models (11,590 total)

Ford Ranger562
Toyota RAV4269
Ford Everest263
Toyota Hilux258
Mazda CX-5236

one count per physical car in the week of its final exit, no listing of it still live; value is each car's final ask, once

Most repriced · cuts in the period

Ford Rangermedian $1,000838 cuts
Mitsubishi Outlandermedian $1,000530 cuts
Toyota Hiluxmedian $1,000511 cuts
Toyota RAV4median $700467 cuts
Ford Everestmedian $1,000385 cuts

one count per car per day, however many syndicated copies repeat it; grows as coverage finds more cars

Day by day

Cars and advertisements separately wherever both exist; they differ by about half again. Every day due in this period recorded.

One row per recorded day from 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-27, 7 days recorded: listings and cars live, exits in advertisements and in cars with the proved share, their value in dollars at final asking prices, and cuts and rises as events and as cars. Days that recorded nothing are absent, never interpolated.
DayLive listingsLive carsCars proved soldAll exitsCars cutCars up
2026-09-21234,311156,8598641,0942,221291
2026-09-22235,089157,2888361,1302,857356
2026-09-23236,082157,8488909592,584335
2026-09-24236,649158,5237901,0472,638250
2026-09-25236,818158,6619561,1692,157227
2026-09-26235,045157,9089231,1071,416135
2026-09-27233,550157,06729349558752

Cars proved sold: cars whose exit the seller's own page proved: its SOLD text, or a 404/410. All exits: cars that left, recounted on 2026-09-03 against the live listings of that day --- the wider figure, and the one to read with care: it was recounted after the period closed, so a car that has since been re-advertised has left it. Cars cut: cars repriced down, one per car per day. A dash is a day recorded before these columns existed, not a zero.

How long the period’s sales had been advertised

6,363 used and demo cars proved sold in the period, of which 5,047 publish the seller’s own listing date and are what this is measured over; the median is 32 days. Unproved exits are excluded: a page that went quiet is not a sale, and a days-to-sell figure built from both would be measuring two different things.

How long the period's sales had been advertised

By state

Levels are the last recorded day; flows are the period’s total. A state gaining watched cars may just be gaining yards.

By state, 9 states, 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-27: cars watched and their median ask in dollars as advertised on the last recorded day, then cars proved sold and cars cut over the whole period. Levels and flows are different quantities.
StateCars at closeMedian askoverCars proved soldCars cut
NSW39,010$26,88825,0991,1074,955
VIC32,962$29,69019,6771,2624,309
QLD32,533$29,88817,1771,3704,369
WA23,443$30,99017,0947543,813
UNKNOWN13,584$20,9958,4714691,539
SA9,136$27,8886,3413621,639
TAS4,818$28,9903,120179610
ACT2,077$24,9501,85637224
NT1,644$33,9901,04412188

“over” is the cars whose price the median was taken across, which is fewer than the cars standing. The proved column sums to the same total as the day-by-day table above, because both are written in one pass under one rule. The cut column does not: cars repriced down IN THAT STATE. A car advertised in two states is in both, so this column does not sum to the market total.

What the prices in this report are

As at 2026-09-27, 99,682 live prices were quoted drive-away, 47,357 excluding government charges, and 90,314 did not say. Every median above is a median across that mix.

The corpus behind these figures

Spotlot monitored 234,311 listings on 2026-09-21 and 233,550 on 2026-09-27 (157,067 physical cars after syndication). listings monitored by Spotlot, which grows with coverage; not a count of the Australian market.

What this report withholds, and why

  • new to market: first seen during a coverage ramp is discovery, not listing; withheld until coverage stabilises
  • median ask movement: a median over a sample whose size moves with coverage measures composition; withheld until a week's n holds still

What left, by model

the twelve models with most proved exits; stock and its median used ask on the last recorded day, cuts and rises once per car per day

The twelve models with most proved exits over 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-27, counted in cars: proved exits, listings live and median used ask in dollars as advertised on the last recorded day, median days advertised, and cuts and rises over the period.
ModelProved exitsLive at closeMedian used askMedian days adv.CutsRises
Ford Ranger1,3639,455$41,99056d1,565146
Ford Everest6284,436$52,99063d86960
Toyota Hilux5914,119$44,99032d91952
Toyota RAV45863,843$39,87427d78733
Nissan X-trail5035,450$27,99979d57834
Hyundai Tucson4924,889$29,99053d76546
Hyundai i304822,934$22,99041d41751
Kia Sportage4803,608$28,99058d56463
Hyundai Kona4603,914$29,49054d45955
Mitsubishi Outlander4414,740$29,90072d831102
Subaru Forester4403,435$29,48841d49716
Mazda CX-54073,663$26,99043d44548

Electric share by state

electric cars as a share of cars with a stated powertrain, on the first and last recorded day of the period; states with 200 or more stated cars

Electric share of stated-powertrain cars by state, 8 states, on 2026-09-21 and 2026-09-27: stated cars and electric cars at close, the share at start and at close, and the change in points.
StateStated cars at closeElectric at closeShare at startShare at closeChange
NSW37,4292,6156.8%7.0%+0.2 pts
VIC32,0212,7488.4%8.6%+0.2 pts
QLD31,5222,4497.8%7.8%+0.0 pts
WA21,9451,1535.1%5.3%+0.1 pts
SA8,9736507.0%7.2%+0.2 pts
TAS4,5373618.1%8.0%-0.2 pts
ACT1,9081568.0%8.2%+0.2 pts
NT1,5321277.9%8.3%+0.4 pts

Days to sell by state and segment, 21 Sept to 27 Sept

Median days advertised at exit, used and proved only, by state and body segment · cars · n = 4,501 · as at 28 Sept 2026, 07:33 am AWST · a cell under the floor of 30 cars prints its count instead of a median. Each cell is the median days advertised at exit with the number of cars beneath it. [u] marks a cell under the floor of 30 cars, shown with its count and no figure (33 such cells here). In each row the highest and lowest figures are in bold; nothing is coloured, because a colour would say more than the sample does.
StateSUVWagonUteHatchSedanVanCoupePeople moverConvertibleBus
QLD22d47423d21924d25213d13918d88[u]28[u]18[u]1[u]1[u]1
VIC34d42831d19329d14822d13724d8454d39[u]19[u]11[u]3[u]1
NSW27d32631d17922d14818d12419d68[u]11[u]9[u]1[u]1—
WA41d29639d15840d15131d13019d79[u]14[u]20—[u]3—
SA33d14122d3758d4323d37[u]19[u]2[u]3—[u]1—
TAS26d6422d4129d47[u]18[u]11[u]5[u]2———
NT[u]2[u]3[u]3[u]1————[u]1—

Source: turn_matrix over sold_car_fact, the period's proved exits.

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