Australian car-market observation

Live data on Australia’s car market.Every listing. Every cut. Every day.

Prices, cuts, days to sell and proved sales, read from dealer sites every day, with the evidence behind every figure.

Free, with an account. No card, no trial, no tier.

Watched right now

as at 17:30 AWST, 25 Sept 2026 · counted, never estimated

Listings watched now

237,367

across 1,058 dealer sources

Confirmed sold, last 24 hours

1,510

$54.6M in final asks · 423 more gone, unproved

Price cuts, last 24 hours

3,551

against 368 rises

Median days to sell

36

middle half 13–84 · 32,475 cars watched out, 84% proved

What it answers

Five questions. One car.

  1. 01

    What it’s worth

    $36,687

    $34,825$38,818

    The middle of the adjusted asks; the band is the range. Excluding government charges.

  2. 02

    Why

    104 comparables

    $27,810$49,515

    One dot per car, sized by weight; yellow sold. 54 live, 50 recently gone.

  3. 03

    How sure

    high

    sample1.00
    tightness0.64
    recency0.73

    Scored 0.84, in three parts you can read.

  4. 04

    How fast it sells

    44 days

    66% cut before they sold

    Median of 461 cars seen to sell, by the seller’s own listing date.

  5. 05

    What to pay

    $32,000

    A dealer’s buy price at a 10% margin, worked back from the range. Every step is printed on the page.

2021 Ford Ranger XLT, 60,000 km · as at 25 Sept, 16:40 AWST · model spotlot-val-0.14.0 · value your own car, free with an account →

Why it is different

Spotlot monitors the whole market, every day.

No public source confirms a sale. Spotlot catches it because it was already re-reading the page: every ask, every cut, and the day the car comes down, since 10 August 2026.

That record cannot be bought or back-filled by anyone starting later.

20,936,437
observations recorded
267,956
price changes caught
154,606
cars watched out
$54,880$53,990$53,490$52,880listed 27 Auggone 25 Sept · SOLD
A real car: the 2022 Toyota Hiace Commuter in SA, advertised 29 days by the seller’s own date, cut 3 times (15 Sept, 19 Sept, 23 Sept), and gone on 25 Sept with the seller’s own SOLD notice. The grey lines are ornament. The listing’s record, with a free account →

Inside

The terminal, live.

What is moving · price cuts, 7 days

one per car per day

  1. Ford Ranger855 cuts · median −$1,000
  2. Toyota Hilux528 cuts · median −$1,000
  3. Mitsubishi Outlander464 cuts · median −$1,000
  4. Toyota RAV4464 cuts · median −$894
  5. Ford Everest461 cuts · median −$1,000
  6. Hyundai Tucson400 cuts · median −$1,000

Dealer decisions, not cars. The whole board, with an account →

The tape · latest confirmed sold

to 17:20 AWST

  1. 2024 Toyota Camry · QLD$36,895 · 9 d on market
  2. 2021 Lexus ES · QLD$28,990 · 0 d on market
  3. 2017 Isuzu Mu-x · WA$36,989 · 10 d on market
  4. 2018 Hyundai Tucson · WA$14,989 · 22 d on market
  5. 2022 Toyota Corolla · WA$23,450 · 51 d on market
  6. 2025 Toyota RAV4 · WA$54,989 · 9 d on market

Proved by the seller’s own SOLD notice or a page gone; the final ask, and the seller’s own count of days on market.

Cuts against rises · 7 days

repricings

cuts21,814
rises2,441

9 cuts for every rise. Last 24 hours: 3,551 against 368.

Cars proved sold

final asks

1,510
last 24 hours
$54.6M
9,090
last 7 days
$328.7M
52,327
since 10 August
$1.8B

Counted, never estimated: a SOLD notice or a dead page, never absence.

Where the stock is

live listings

  1. NSW39,113
  2. VIC33,633
  3. QLD32,792
  4. WA23,415
  5. SA9,225
  6. TAS4,758

Advertised now, by the state the seller gave. Coverage →

Read from the terminal as this page was built, as at 17:30 AWST, 25 Sept 2026. Not screenshots.

Data integrity

Every figure carries its evidence.

  • —

    Counted, never estimated. A valuation shows its comparables; a sale is proved or it is not counted.

  • —

    Coverage is stated, never implied. Which sites are in, which refuse us, and why, on one page.

  • —

    Its own mistakes are published. The data-quality log holds 65 entries: what reached the database, why, and what now prevents it.

  • —

    One polite crawler. It names itself, honours robots.txt and gets around nothing.

The method · Coverage · The data-quality log

How a sale is proved

cars, last 7 days

  1. The seller's own SOLD notice8,323
  2. The page gone: a 404 or 410767
  3. Left without proof: an exit, never a sale2,731 · not counted

Two kinds of proof count. A car that simply vanishes is the weakest evidence there is, so it is recorded and set aside.

For dealerships

Your yard, measured.

A yard knows what is standing and what it cost. It cannot see where its asks sit against the same cars across town, how long they take against the market, or how it compares with the yards around it.

Spotlot can, because it was already watching all of them.

Request dealer access

Reviewed by hand, because it opens a named yard. Free.

One Perth yard, as it stood

observed 13 Sept 2026

1,924

cars standing

$53.6M

in 994 cars over 90 days old

+1.2%

asks against the market, 1,646 cars compared

Stock by days on the lot

  1. 0–30d220
  2. 31–60d386
  3. 61–90d307
  4. 90d+994

Against the other WA yards · this yard, their median

  1. Sell-through, 30 days34.6% vs 39.9%, 38 yards
  2. Days to sell, last 90 days79 d vs 32 d, 41 yards
  3. Cars cut, 30 days52.5% vs 43.6%, 42 yards

Its biggest line, the Toyota Hilux: 282 on the lot, standing a median 102 days while the market sells one in 48.

The yard’s own statement, name off. Every figure is a count from its public advertising, read daily.

The deal

Free.Funded by donations.

No paywall, no advertising, no data for sale, and no plan to change that. A public record behind a paywall is not a public record.

Why an account, then?

Things that are yours. A watchlist, and the cars you have priced.

Lookups that cost money. A registration lookup bills us per plate.

So we can tell you what changed. The record deepens daily; an account is how we say so.

The week in the market

14 September to 20 September 2026

Cars that left the market

14,333

$504.6M in final asks

Cars cut in price

22,828

against 3,088 rises

Cars under observation

234,321

at the close of the week

Counted from what dealers published, issued the morning the week closed, never rewritten. This is the document that arrives by email.

The report by email

The week in the market, every Monday.

Sales proved, prices cut, what moved. Counted from the record, one email, no follow-ups.

By subscribing you agree to receive it until you unsubscribe, which every email lets you do. Privacy.