The week in the market · 14 September to 20 September 2026
Download the PDFA closed UTC week, written once and never rewritten. UTC weeks, Monday 10am AEST to Monday 10am AEST.
22,828
price cuts · against 3,088 rises · median cut $1,000 · once per car per day
14,333
cars left the market
$504,565,700 in final asking prices, all bases as advertised
of which at least 6,396 carry the seller’s own proof
In brief
- 1Exits ran at 1,124 cars a day over 7 recorded days, up 26.5% on the 7 days before (888 a day over 6 recorded); at least 6,396 of the week's 14,333 carry the seller's own proof of sale.
- 2Dealers cut 16,243 cars' prices against 2,365 rises: 1.48 cuts a day per 100 cars live, down 13.2% on the 7 days before; the median cut was $1,000.
- 3The median used asking price closed at $27,990 over 98,925 cars, up 0.1% (+$40) on the 7 days before, bases mixed as advertised.
- 4WA's median used ask moved most, up 5.0% to $31,489 over 16,783 cars; QLD, TAS held within half a percent.
- 5Ford Ranger led the market out with 1,416 proved exits, up 25.0% per recorded day; Hyundai i30 rose fastest among the twelve, up 82.0% per recorded day.
- 6Electric cars' median used ask closed at $42,990 over 3,849 cars, unchanged; their proved exits up 71.4% per recorded day.
computed from the figures below, each with its count; nothing is a forecast
Against the period before
Against the 7 days before, 7 Sept to 13 Sept: 7 of 7 days recorded this period against 6 of 7 before, so flows are compared per recorded day. Flows are summed over recorded days, levels read on the last; a comparison the windows cannot bear is left blank with its reason.
| Measure | This period | the 7 days before | Change | Per recorded day |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cars that left the market · cars, one per vehicle | 7,867 | 5,329 | up 47.6% (+2,538) | 1,124 vs 888, up 26.5% |
| Of them, proved by the seller's page · cars | 6,396 | 4,325 | up 47.9% (+2,071) | 914 vs 721, up 26.8% |
| Cars with a price cut · cars, once per car per day | 16,243 | 15,705 | up 3.4% (+538) | 2,320 vs 2,618, down 11.3% |
| Cars with a price rise · cars, once per car per day | 2,365 | 2,670 | down 11.4% (−305) | 338 vs 445, down 24.1% |
| Cars live at close · cars on the last recorded day | 156,655 | 153,404 | up 2.1% (+3,251) | — |
| Median used asking price at close · one price per car, bases mixed | $27,990 | $27,950 | up 0.1% (+$40) | — |
| Median days advertised at exit · proved exits with a published age, 5,047 and 4,779 cars | 34d | 34d | unchanged | — |
7,867 cars left the market in the latest window of the last eight weeks
Cars that left the market, one per vehicle, summed over each window's recorded days, the last eight weeks · cars · n = 45,631 · as at 20 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · a hollow bar is a window not fully recorded and a tick is a window before the series began; never filled in
Source: the daily roll-up, by window.
16,243 cars cut in the latest window of the last eight weeks
Cars repriced down, once per car per day, summed over each window's recorded days, the last eight weeks · cars · n = 106,687 · as at 20 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · same marks as the exits chart
Source: the daily roll-up, by window.
Per recorded day against the 7 days before: exits up 26.5%, proved exits up 26.8%, cuts down 11.3%, rises down 24.1%; cars live at close up 2.1%; the median used ask up 0.1%; median days to sell unchanged.
Exits ran up 26.5% per recorded day against the 7 days before
Running total of cars that left the market, day by day, this period in ink and the 7 days before in grey on the same days · cars · n = 7,867 · as at 20 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · 7 of 7 days recorded this period against 6 of 7 before, so flows are compared per recorded day; a line stops where a day was not recorded
Source: the daily roll-up, this window and the one before.
WA's median used ask moved most, up 5.0% to $31,489
Median used asking price by state, the 7 days before against this period, states with 1,000 or more priced cars both sides · dollars · n = 7 · as at 20 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · asking prices as advertised, bases mixed, one price per car; a state's median can move because the yards it watches changed, not only because sellers repriced
Source: the daily state roll-up, each window's last recorded day.
Cars that left the market · top models (14,333 total)
one count per physical car in the week of its final exit, no listing of it still live; value is each car's final ask, once
Most repriced · cuts in the period
one count per car per day, however many syndicated copies repeat it; grows as coverage finds more cars
Day by day
Cars and advertisements separately wherever both exist; they differ by about half again. Every day due in this period recorded.
| Day | Live listings | Live cars | Cars proved sold | All exits | Cars cut | Cars up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | 223,557 | 152,714 | 839 | 1,080 | 2,188 | 303 |
| 2026-09-15 | 231,505 | 154,956 | 1,055 | 1,326 | 3,422 | 485 |
| 2026-09-16 | 236,028 | 157,388 | 983 | 1,029 | 2,882 | 513 |
| 2026-09-17 | 237,450 | 158,254 | 828 | 1,103 | 2,947 | 444 |
| 2026-09-18 | 237,929 | 158,440 | 1,237 | 1,429 | 2,375 | 401 |
| 2026-09-19 | 236,311 | 158,132 | 1,135 | 1,384 | 1,727 | 153 |
| 2026-09-20 | 234,321 | 156,655 | 319 | 516 | 702 | 66 |
Cars proved sold: cars whose exit the seller's own page proved: its SOLD text, or a 404/410. All exits: cars that left, recounted on 2026-09-03 against the live listings of that day --- the wider figure, and the one to read with care: it was recounted after the period closed, so a car that has since been re-advertised has left it. Cars cut: cars repriced down, one per car per day. A dash is a day recorded before these columns existed, not a zero.
How long the period’s sales had been advertised
8,669 used and demo cars proved sold in the period, of which 5,047 publish the seller’s own listing date and are what this is measured over; the median is 34 days. Unproved exits are excluded: a page that went quiet is not a sale, and a days-to-sell figure built from both would be measuring two different things.
By state
Levels are the last recorded day; flows are the period’s total. A state gaining watched cars may just be gaining yards.
| State | Cars at close | Median ask | over | Cars proved sold | Cars cut |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSW | 39,065 | $26,888 | 25,213 | 1,140 | 5,543 |
| VIC | 32,972 | $29,888 | 19,941 | 1,466 | 4,693 |
| QLD | 32,962 | $29,990 | 17,220 | 1,365 | 4,719 |
| WA | 23,007 | $31,489 | 16,783 | 1,277 | 4,134 |
| UNKNOWN | 13,596 | $20,990 | 8,515 | 552 | 1,501 |
| SA | 9,144 | $27,990 | 6,365 | 358 | 1,523 |
| TAS | 4,695 | $28,990 | 3,032 | 200 | 535 |
| ACT | 1,970 | $23,999 | 1,806 | 22 | 319 |
| NT | 1,592 | $34,980 | 973 | 16 | 163 |
“over” is the cars whose price the median was taken across, which is fewer than the cars standing. The proved column sums to the same total as the day-by-day table above, because both are written in one pass under one rule. The cut column does not: cars repriced down IN THAT STATE. A car advertised in two states is in both, so this column does not sum to the market total.
What the prices in this report are
As at 2026-09-20, 99,126 live prices were quoted drive-away, 47,270 excluding government charges, and 91,544 did not say. Every median above is a median across that mix.
The corpus behind these figures
Spotlot monitored 223,557 listings on 2026-09-14 and 234,321 on 2026-09-20 (156,655 physical cars after syndication). listings monitored by Spotlot, which grows with coverage; not a count of the Australian market.
What this report withholds, and why
- new to market: first seen during a coverage ramp is discovery, not listing; withheld until coverage stabilises
- median ask movement: a median over a sample whose size moves with coverage measures composition; withheld until a week's n holds still
What left, by model
the twelve models with most proved exits; stock and its median used ask on the last recorded day, cuts and rises once per car per day
| Model | Proved exits | Live at close | Median used ask | Median days adv. | Cuts | Rises |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ford Ranger | 1,416 | 9,460 | $42,490 | 59d | 1,922 | 161 |
| Hyundai Tucson | 766 | 5,041 | $29,990 | 50d | 740 | 167 |
| Toyota RAV4 | 674 | 3,904 | $39,888 | 26d | 846 | 102 |
| Toyota Hilux | 620 | 4,048 | $44,990 | 32d | 870 | 85 |
| Ford Everest | 615 | 4,535 | $53,450 | 66d | 1,111 | 53 |
| Hyundai i30 | 535 | 3,048 | $23,950 | 39d | 437 | 85 |
| Mitsubishi Outlander | 513 | 4,566 | $29,990 | 74d | 626 | 181 |
| Mazda CX-5 | 500 | 3,551 | $26,990 | 45d | 475 | 55 |
| Hyundai Kona | 494 | 4,062 | $29,990 | 50d | 540 | 149 |
| Mitsubishi Triton | 487 | 3,632 | $30,788 | 64d | 525 | 201 |
| GWM Haval Jolion | 466 | 3,213 | $23,880 | 36d | 253 | 30 |
| Nissan X-trail | 453 | 5,635 | $27,990 | 74d | 652 | 54 |
Electric share by state
electric cars as a share of cars with a stated powertrain, on the first and last recorded day of the period; states with 200 or more stated cars
| State | Stated cars at close | Electric at close | Share at start | Share at close | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSW | 37,518 | 2,569 | 6.8% | 6.8% | +0.0 pts |
| VIC | 32,046 | 2,690 | 8.5% | 8.4% | -0.1 pts |
| QLD | 31,963 | 2,484 | 7.9% | 7.8% | -0.2 pts |
| WA | 21,548 | 1,106 | 5.0% | 5.1% | +0.1 pts |
| SA | 8,982 | 621 | 6.8% | 6.9% | +0.2 pts |
| TAS | 4,446 | 359 | 7.8% | 8.1% | +0.3 pts |
| ACT | 1,854 | 149 | 7.9% | 8.0% | +0.1 pts |
| NT | 1,488 | 118 | 8.1% | 7.9% | -0.2 pts |
Days to sell by state and segment, 14 Sept to 20 Sept
| State | SUV | Wagon | Ute | Hatch | Sedan | Van | Coupe | Convertible | People mover | Bus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QLD | 26d434 | 28d246 | 31d250 | 16d146 | 21d116 | [u]13 | [u]18 | [u]7 | — | — |
| VIC | 33d372 | 26d165 | 27d138 | 27d154 | 19d71 | [u]20 | [u]16 | [u]5 | — | — |
| NSW | 31d346 | 25d189 | 23d132 | 16d117 | 21d58 | [u]21 | [u]10 | [u]1 | — | — |
| WA | 40d329 | 30d164 | 41d166 | 36d94 | 32d69 | [u]14 | [u]26 | [u]4 | — | [u]1 |
| SA | 28d131 | 22d56 | 25d49 | 24d35 | [u]17 | [u]3 | [u]1 | [u]1 | [u]1 | — |
| TAS | 50d73 | 23d39 | 40d54 | 17d33 | [u]11 | [u]1 | — | — | — | — |
| NT | [u]3 | [u]2 | [u]6 | — | [u]1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Source: turn_matrix over sold_car_fact, the period's proved exits.
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Spotlot, week of 14 September to 20 September 2026: Exits ran at 1,124 cars a day over 7 recorded days, up 26.5% on the 7 days before (888 a day over 6 recorded); at least 6,396 of the week's 14,333 carry the seller's own proof of sale. 22,828 price cuts against 3,088 rises (median cut $1,000), counted once per car per day. Most repriced: Ford Ranger, 940 cuts. 234,321 listings monitored at close. Observed, never modelled. spotlot.io/reports/w-2026-09-14
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Sales proved, prices cut, what moved. Counted from the record, one email, no follow-ups.