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The month in the market · September 2026

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A closed calendar month, written once and never rewritten. UTC months, closing 10am AEST on the first.

101,273

price cuts · against 13,250 rises · median cut $1,000 · once per car per day

48,168

cars left the market
$1,817,579,721 in final asking prices, all bases as advertised
of which at least 23,708 carry the seller’s own proof

In brief

  1. 1Exits ran at 1,053 cars a day over 28 recorded days, down 24.3% on the previous calendar month (1,392 a day over 19 recorded); at least 23,708 of the month's 48,168 carry the seller's own proof of sale.
  2. 2Dealers cut 68,897 cars' prices against 10,236 rises: 1.56 cuts a day per 100 cars live, down 23.1% on the previous calendar month; the median cut was $1,000.
  3. 3ACT's median used ask moved most, up 8.5% to $24,950 over 1,837 cars; QLD, NT held within half a percent.
  4. 4Ford Ranger led the market out with 5,212 proved exits, up 15.0% per recorded day; Hyundai i30 rose fastest among the twelve, up 20.9% per recorded day.
  5. 5Electric cars' median used ask closed at $42,990 over 3,870 cars, unchanged; their proved exits down 15.7% per recorded day.
  6. 6The cars that sold had been advertised a median 33 days, over 19,809 proved exits with a published age, against 35 in the previous calendar month (11,034 cars).

computed from the figures below, each with its count; nothing is a forecast

Against the period before

Against the previous calendar month, 1 Aug to 31 Aug: 28 of 30 days recorded this period against 19 of 31 before, so flows are compared per recorded day. Flows are summed over recorded days, levels read on the last; a comparison the windows cannot bear is left blank with its reason.

This period against the previous calendar month, 2026-08-01 to 2026-08-31: cars that left the market, of them proved, cars cut, cars with a rise, cars live at close and the median used ask at close, with the change and, where the windows recorded different numbers of days, the figures per recorded day.
MeasureThis periodthe previous calendar monthChangePer recorded day
Cars that left the market · cars, one per vehicle29,49126,444up 11.5% (+3,047)1,053 vs 1,392, down 24.3%
Of them, proved by the seller's page · cars23,70821,548up 10.0% (+2,160)847 vs 1,134, down 25.3%
Cars with a price cut · cars, once per car per day68,89757,886up 19.0% (+11,011)2,461 vs 3,047, down 19.2%
Cars with a price rise · cars, once per car per day10,2367,296up 40.3% (+2,940)366 vs 384, down 4.8%
Cars live at close · cars on the last recorded day157,592149,984up 5.1% (+7,608)—
Median used asking price at close · one price per car, bases mixed$27,990———
Median days advertised at exit · proved exits with a published age, 19,809 and 11,034 cars33d35ddown 5.7% (−2d)—

Median used asking price at close: written daily since 2026-09-05; only one window has it.

29,491 cars left the market in the latest window of the last six months

Cars that left the market, one per vehicle, summed over each window's recorded days, the last six months · cars · n = 55,935 · as at 30 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · a hollow bar is a window not fully recorded and a tick is a window before the series began; never filled in

29,491 cars left the market in the latest window of the last six months

Source: the daily roll-up, by window.

68,897 cars cut in the latest window of the last six months

Cars repriced down, once per car per day, summed over each window's recorded days, the last six months · cars · n = 126,783 · as at 30 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · same marks as the exits chart

68,897 cars cut in the latest window of the last six months

Source: the daily roll-up, by window.

Per recorded day against the previous calendar month: exits down 24.3%, proved exits down 25.3%, cuts down 19.2%, rises down 4.8%; cars live at close up 5.1%; median days to sell down 5.7%.

Exits ran down 24.3% per recorded day against the previous calendar month

Running total of cars that left the market, day by day, this period in ink and the previous calendar month in grey on the same days · cars · n = 29,491 · as at 30 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · 28 of 30 days recorded this period against 19 of 31 before, so flows are compared per recorded day; a line stops where a day was not recorded

Exits ran down 24.3% per recorded day against the previous calendar month

Source: the daily roll-up, this window and the one before.

ACT's median used ask moved most, up 8.5% to $24,950

Median used asking price by state, the previous calendar month against this period, states with 1,000 or more priced cars both sides · dollars · n = 8 · as at 30 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · asking prices as advertised, bases mixed, one price per car; a state's median can move because the yards it watches changed, not only because sellers repriced

ACT's median used ask moved most, up 8.5% to $24,950

Source: the daily state roll-up, each window's last recorded day.

Cars that left the market · top models (48,168 total)

Ford Ranger2,232
Toyota Hilux1,078
Toyota RAV41,015
Hyundai Tucson1,007
Mazda CX-5985

one count per physical car in the week of its final exit, no listing of it still live; value is each car's final ask, once

Most repriced · cuts in the period

Ford Rangermedian $1,0004,021 cuts
Nissan X-trailmedian $1,0002,348 cuts
Toyota Hiluxmedian $1,0002,236 cuts
Toyota RAV4median $8902,176 cuts
Mitsubishi Outlandermedian $1,0002,071 cuts

one count per car per day, however many syndicated copies repeat it; grows as coverage finds more cars

Day by day

Cars and advertisements separately wherever both exist; they differ by about half again. 2 days in this period recorded nothing and are absent below rather than interpolated: 2026-09-03, 2026-09-12.

One row per recorded day from 2026-09-01 to 2026-09-30, 28 days recorded: listings and cars live, exits in advertisements and in cars with the proved share, their value in dollars at final asking prices, and cuts and rises as events and as cars. Days that recorded nothing are absent, never interpolated.
DayLive listingsLive carsCars proved soldAll exitsCars cutCars up
2026-09-01224,506151,9561,2201,4274,707837
2026-09-02227,302153,7401,2681,4264,932864
2026-09-04231,109155,9099551,2993,809477
2026-09-05229,454155,4368851,1172,477345
2026-09-06226,406153,007410722928118
2026-09-07225,678152,5119631,1242,214392
2026-09-08225,956152,7598301,0343,182496
2026-09-09227,379153,4968769152,795528
2026-09-10228,768154,7265567883,166311
2026-09-11230,416155,6958159773,475837
2026-09-13224,640153,404285491873106
2026-09-14223,557152,7148391,0802,188303
2026-09-15231,505154,9561,0551,3263,422485
2026-09-16236,028157,3889831,0292,882513
2026-09-17237,450158,2548281,1032,947444
2026-09-18237,929158,4401,2371,4292,375401
2026-09-19236,311158,1321,1351,3841,727153
2026-09-20234,321156,65531951670266
2026-09-21234,311156,8598641,0942,221291
2026-09-22235,089157,2888361,1302,857356
2026-09-23236,082157,8488909592,584335
2026-09-24236,649158,5237901,0472,638250
2026-09-25236,818158,6619561,1692,157227
2026-09-26235,045157,9089231,1071,416135
2026-09-27233,550157,06729349558752
2026-09-28232,653156,4538141,0921,763298
2026-09-29233,071156,9649011,1561,848201
2026-09-30233,979157,5929821,0552,025415

Cars proved sold: cars whose exit the seller's own page proved: its SOLD text, or a 404/410. All exits: cars that left, recounted on 2026-09-03 against the live listings of that day --- the wider figure, and the one to read with care: it was recounted after the period closed, so a car that has since been re-advertised has left it. Cars cut: cars repriced down, one per car per day. A dash is a day recorded before these columns existed, not a zero.

The month week by week · cars that left the market

cars, one per vehicle, summed by UTC week from Monday; the first and last weeks hold only the days inside the period, and a hollow bar is a week not fully recorded

The month week by week: cars that left the market

How long the period’s sales had been advertised

26,794 used and demo cars proved sold in the period, of which 19,809 publish the seller’s own listing date and are what this is measured over; the median is 33 days. Unproved exits are excluded: a page that went quiet is not a sale, and a days-to-sell figure built from both would be measuring two different things.

How long the period's sales had been advertised

By state

Levels are the last recorded day; flows are the period’s total. A state gaining watched cars may just be gaining yards.

By state, 9 states, 2026-09-01 to 2026-09-30: cars watched and their median ask in dollars as advertised on the last recorded day, then cars proved sold and cars cut over the whole period. Levels and flows are different quantities.
StateCars at closeMedian askoverCars proved soldCars cut
NSW39,134$26,88825,0074,47421,977
VIC33,537$29,49019,8745,58719,589
QLD32,729$29,88017,3225,56620,438
WA22,880$30,99017,0063,66515,755
UNKNOWN13,655$20,9958,5192,1127,154
SA9,270$27,8806,4821,3656,130
TAS4,884$28,9903,1468112,767
ACT2,060$24,9501,83775974
NT1,674$33,9801,07253780

“over” is the cars whose price the median was taken across, which is fewer than the cars standing. The proved column sums to the same total as the day-by-day table above, because both are written in one pass under one rule. The cut column does not: cars repriced down IN THAT STATE. A car advertised in two states is in both, so this column does not sum to the market total.

What the prices in this report are

As at 2026-09-30, 99,682 live prices were quoted drive-away, 47,357 excluding government charges, and 91,962 did not say. Every median above is a median across that mix.

The corpus behind these figures

Spotlot monitored 224,506 listings on 2026-09-01 and 233,979 on 2026-09-30 (157,592 physical cars after syndication). listings monitored by Spotlot, which grows with coverage; not a count of the Australian market.

What this report withholds, and why

  • new to market: first seen during a coverage ramp is discovery, not listing; withheld until coverage stabilises
  • median ask movement: a median over a sample whose size moves with coverage measures composition; withheld until a week's n holds still

What left, by model

the twelve models with most proved exits; stock and its median used ask on the last recorded day, cuts and rises once per car per day

The twelve models with most proved exits over 2026-09-01 to 2026-09-30, counted in cars: proved exits, listings live and median used ask in dollars as advertised on the last recorded day, median days advertised, and cuts and rises over the period.
ModelProved exitsLive at closeMedian used askMedian days adv.CutsRises
Ford Ranger5,2129,315$41,99953d6,883673
Ford Everest2,3764,474$52,99059d3,983347
Toyota Hilux2,3694,207$44,99032d3,621269
Toyota RAV42,3123,885$39,88828d3,489273
Hyundai Tucson2,2204,908$29,99055d3,365463
Mitsubishi Outlander1,8924,751$29,95065d3,004678
Hyundai i301,8843,019$22,99037d1,886283
Mitsubishi Triton1,8163,719$29,99060d2,133659
Nissan X-trail1,8125,390$27,99879d3,236333
Hyundai Kona1,7953,961$29,49054d2,261398
GWM Haval Jolion1,7393,157$23,88436d1,067211
Mazda CX-51,7283,695$26,99042d1,911225

Electric share by state

electric cars as a share of cars with a stated powertrain, on the first and last recorded day of the period; states with 200 or more stated cars

Electric share of stated-powertrain cars by state, 8 states, on 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30: stated cars and electric cars at close, the share at start and at close, and the change in points.
StateStated cars at closeElectric at closeShare at startShare at closeChange
NSW37,5332,6426.5%7.0%+0.5 pts
VIC32,5842,7778.1%8.5%+0.4 pts
QLD31,6932,4467.2%7.7%+0.5 pts
WA21,9471,1445.2%5.2%-0.0 pts
SA9,0996696.8%7.4%+0.6 pts
TAS4,5773597.4%7.8%+0.4 pts
ACT1,8871537.9%8.1%+0.3 pts
NT1,5621327.7%8.5%+0.7 pts

Days to sell by state and segment, 1 Sept to 30 Sept

Median days advertised at exit, used and proved only, by state and body segment · cars · n = 17,742 · as at 1 Oct 2026, 07:33 am AWST · a cell under the floor of 30 cars prints its count instead of a median. Each cell is the median days advertised at exit with the number of cars beneath it. [u] marks a cell under the floor of 30 cars, shown with its count and no figure (34 such cells here). In each row the highest and lowest figures are in bold; nothing is coloured, because a colour would say more than the sample does.
StateSUVWagonUteHatchSedanVanCoupeConvertiblePeople moverBus
QLD26d1,66026d87026d96118d59221d35421d8325d70[u]10[u]1[u]5
VIC36d1,63728d74429d58222d54021d33032d12223d57[u]10[u]14[u]2
NSW27d1,35925d71925d62819d50721d26328d6328d44[u]3[u]4—
WA41d1,26937d63340d65031d44931d27031d6132d93[u]14—[u]3
SA28d46323d16830d18423d11516d73[u]10[u]7[u]1[u]1—
TAS38d30826d16941d20220d10931d44[u]19[u]9[u]2——
not stated53d33[u]11[u]17[u]8[u]6[u]1—[u]1——
NT[u]10[u]4[u]16—[u]3—[u]1[u]1——

Source: turn_matrix over sold_car_fact, the period's proved exits.

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