The month in the market · September 2026
Download the PDFA closed calendar month, written once and never rewritten. UTC months, closing 10am AEST on the first.
101,273
price cuts · against 13,250 rises · median cut $1,000 · once per car per day
48,168
cars left the market
$1,817,579,721 in final asking prices, all bases as advertised
of which at least 23,708 carry the seller’s own proof
In brief
- 1Exits ran at 1,053 cars a day over 28 recorded days, down 24.3% on the previous calendar month (1,392 a day over 19 recorded); at least 23,708 of the month's 48,168 carry the seller's own proof of sale.
- 2Dealers cut 68,897 cars' prices against 10,236 rises: 1.56 cuts a day per 100 cars live, down 23.1% on the previous calendar month; the median cut was $1,000.
- 3ACT's median used ask moved most, up 8.5% to $24,950 over 1,837 cars; QLD, NT held within half a percent.
- 4Ford Ranger led the market out with 5,212 proved exits, up 15.0% per recorded day; Hyundai i30 rose fastest among the twelve, up 20.9% per recorded day.
- 5Electric cars' median used ask closed at $42,990 over 3,870 cars, unchanged; their proved exits down 15.7% per recorded day.
- 6The cars that sold had been advertised a median 33 days, over 19,809 proved exits with a published age, against 35 in the previous calendar month (11,034 cars).
computed from the figures below, each with its count; nothing is a forecast
Against the period before
Against the previous calendar month, 1 Aug to 31 Aug: 28 of 30 days recorded this period against 19 of 31 before, so flows are compared per recorded day. Flows are summed over recorded days, levels read on the last; a comparison the windows cannot bear is left blank with its reason.
| Measure | This period | the previous calendar month | Change | Per recorded day |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cars that left the market · cars, one per vehicle | 29,491 | 26,444 | up 11.5% (+3,047) | 1,053 vs 1,392, down 24.3% |
| Of them, proved by the seller's page · cars | 23,708 | 21,548 | up 10.0% (+2,160) | 847 vs 1,134, down 25.3% |
| Cars with a price cut · cars, once per car per day | 68,897 | 57,886 | up 19.0% (+11,011) | 2,461 vs 3,047, down 19.2% |
| Cars with a price rise · cars, once per car per day | 10,236 | 7,296 | up 40.3% (+2,940) | 366 vs 384, down 4.8% |
| Cars live at close · cars on the last recorded day | 157,592 | 149,984 | up 5.1% (+7,608) | — |
| Median used asking price at close · one price per car, bases mixed | $27,990 | — | — | — |
| Median days advertised at exit · proved exits with a published age, 19,809 and 11,034 cars | 33d | 35d | down 5.7% (−2d) | — |
Median used asking price at close: written daily since 2026-09-05; only one window has it.
29,491 cars left the market in the latest window of the last six months
Cars that left the market, one per vehicle, summed over each window's recorded days, the last six months · cars · n = 55,935 · as at 30 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · a hollow bar is a window not fully recorded and a tick is a window before the series began; never filled in
Source: the daily roll-up, by window.
68,897 cars cut in the latest window of the last six months
Cars repriced down, once per car per day, summed over each window's recorded days, the last six months · cars · n = 126,783 · as at 30 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · same marks as the exits chart
Source: the daily roll-up, by window.
Per recorded day against the previous calendar month: exits down 24.3%, proved exits down 25.3%, cuts down 19.2%, rises down 4.8%; cars live at close up 5.1%; median days to sell down 5.7%.
Exits ran down 24.3% per recorded day against the previous calendar month
Running total of cars that left the market, day by day, this period in ink and the previous calendar month in grey on the same days · cars · n = 29,491 · as at 30 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · 28 of 30 days recorded this period against 19 of 31 before, so flows are compared per recorded day; a line stops where a day was not recorded
Source: the daily roll-up, this window and the one before.
ACT's median used ask moved most, up 8.5% to $24,950
Median used asking price by state, the previous calendar month against this period, states with 1,000 or more priced cars both sides · dollars · n = 8 · as at 30 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · asking prices as advertised, bases mixed, one price per car; a state's median can move because the yards it watches changed, not only because sellers repriced
Source: the daily state roll-up, each window's last recorded day.
Cars that left the market · top models (48,168 total)
one count per physical car in the week of its final exit, no listing of it still live; value is each car's final ask, once
Most repriced · cuts in the period
one count per car per day, however many syndicated copies repeat it; grows as coverage finds more cars
Day by day
Cars and advertisements separately wherever both exist; they differ by about half again. 2 days in this period recorded nothing and are absent below rather than interpolated: 2026-09-03, 2026-09-12.
| Day | Live listings | Live cars | Cars proved sold | All exits | Cars cut | Cars up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | 224,506 | 151,956 | 1,220 | 1,427 | 4,707 | 837 |
| 2026-09-02 | 227,302 | 153,740 | 1,268 | 1,426 | 4,932 | 864 |
| 2026-09-04 | 231,109 | 155,909 | 955 | 1,299 | 3,809 | 477 |
| 2026-09-05 | 229,454 | 155,436 | 885 | 1,117 | 2,477 | 345 |
| 2026-09-06 | 226,406 | 153,007 | 410 | 722 | 928 | 118 |
| 2026-09-07 | 225,678 | 152,511 | 963 | 1,124 | 2,214 | 392 |
| 2026-09-08 | 225,956 | 152,759 | 830 | 1,034 | 3,182 | 496 |
| 2026-09-09 | 227,379 | 153,496 | 876 | 915 | 2,795 | 528 |
| 2026-09-10 | 228,768 | 154,726 | 556 | 788 | 3,166 | 311 |
| 2026-09-11 | 230,416 | 155,695 | 815 | 977 | 3,475 | 837 |
| 2026-09-13 | 224,640 | 153,404 | 285 | 491 | 873 | 106 |
| 2026-09-14 | 223,557 | 152,714 | 839 | 1,080 | 2,188 | 303 |
| 2026-09-15 | 231,505 | 154,956 | 1,055 | 1,326 | 3,422 | 485 |
| 2026-09-16 | 236,028 | 157,388 | 983 | 1,029 | 2,882 | 513 |
| 2026-09-17 | 237,450 | 158,254 | 828 | 1,103 | 2,947 | 444 |
| 2026-09-18 | 237,929 | 158,440 | 1,237 | 1,429 | 2,375 | 401 |
| 2026-09-19 | 236,311 | 158,132 | 1,135 | 1,384 | 1,727 | 153 |
| 2026-09-20 | 234,321 | 156,655 | 319 | 516 | 702 | 66 |
| 2026-09-21 | 234,311 | 156,859 | 864 | 1,094 | 2,221 | 291 |
| 2026-09-22 | 235,089 | 157,288 | 836 | 1,130 | 2,857 | 356 |
| 2026-09-23 | 236,082 | 157,848 | 890 | 959 | 2,584 | 335 |
| 2026-09-24 | 236,649 | 158,523 | 790 | 1,047 | 2,638 | 250 |
| 2026-09-25 | 236,818 | 158,661 | 956 | 1,169 | 2,157 | 227 |
| 2026-09-26 | 235,045 | 157,908 | 923 | 1,107 | 1,416 | 135 |
| 2026-09-27 | 233,550 | 157,067 | 293 | 495 | 587 | 52 |
| 2026-09-28 | 232,653 | 156,453 | 814 | 1,092 | 1,763 | 298 |
| 2026-09-29 | 233,071 | 156,964 | 901 | 1,156 | 1,848 | 201 |
| 2026-09-30 | 233,979 | 157,592 | 982 | 1,055 | 2,025 | 415 |
Cars proved sold: cars whose exit the seller's own page proved: its SOLD text, or a 404/410. All exits: cars that left, recounted on 2026-09-03 against the live listings of that day --- the wider figure, and the one to read with care: it was recounted after the period closed, so a car that has since been re-advertised has left it. Cars cut: cars repriced down, one per car per day. A dash is a day recorded before these columns existed, not a zero.
The month week by week · cars that left the market
cars, one per vehicle, summed by UTC week from Monday; the first and last weeks hold only the days inside the period, and a hollow bar is a week not fully recorded
How long the period’s sales had been advertised
26,794 used and demo cars proved sold in the period, of which 19,809 publish the seller’s own listing date and are what this is measured over; the median is 33 days. Unproved exits are excluded: a page that went quiet is not a sale, and a days-to-sell figure built from both would be measuring two different things.
By state
Levels are the last recorded day; flows are the period’s total. A state gaining watched cars may just be gaining yards.
| State | Cars at close | Median ask | over | Cars proved sold | Cars cut |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSW | 39,134 | $26,888 | 25,007 | 4,474 | 21,977 |
| VIC | 33,537 | $29,490 | 19,874 | 5,587 | 19,589 |
| QLD | 32,729 | $29,880 | 17,322 | 5,566 | 20,438 |
| WA | 22,880 | $30,990 | 17,006 | 3,665 | 15,755 |
| UNKNOWN | 13,655 | $20,995 | 8,519 | 2,112 | 7,154 |
| SA | 9,270 | $27,880 | 6,482 | 1,365 | 6,130 |
| TAS | 4,884 | $28,990 | 3,146 | 811 | 2,767 |
| ACT | 2,060 | $24,950 | 1,837 | 75 | 974 |
| NT | 1,674 | $33,980 | 1,072 | 53 | 780 |
“over” is the cars whose price the median was taken across, which is fewer than the cars standing. The proved column sums to the same total as the day-by-day table above, because both are written in one pass under one rule. The cut column does not: cars repriced down IN THAT STATE. A car advertised in two states is in both, so this column does not sum to the market total.
What the prices in this report are
As at 2026-09-30, 99,682 live prices were quoted drive-away, 47,357 excluding government charges, and 91,962 did not say. Every median above is a median across that mix.
The corpus behind these figures
Spotlot monitored 224,506 listings on 2026-09-01 and 233,979 on 2026-09-30 (157,592 physical cars after syndication). listings monitored by Spotlot, which grows with coverage; not a count of the Australian market.
What this report withholds, and why
- new to market: first seen during a coverage ramp is discovery, not listing; withheld until coverage stabilises
- median ask movement: a median over a sample whose size moves with coverage measures composition; withheld until a week's n holds still
What left, by model
the twelve models with most proved exits; stock and its median used ask on the last recorded day, cuts and rises once per car per day
| Model | Proved exits | Live at close | Median used ask | Median days adv. | Cuts | Rises |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ford Ranger | 5,212 | 9,315 | $41,999 | 53d | 6,883 | 673 |
| Ford Everest | 2,376 | 4,474 | $52,990 | 59d | 3,983 | 347 |
| Toyota Hilux | 2,369 | 4,207 | $44,990 | 32d | 3,621 | 269 |
| Toyota RAV4 | 2,312 | 3,885 | $39,888 | 28d | 3,489 | 273 |
| Hyundai Tucson | 2,220 | 4,908 | $29,990 | 55d | 3,365 | 463 |
| Mitsubishi Outlander | 1,892 | 4,751 | $29,950 | 65d | 3,004 | 678 |
| Hyundai i30 | 1,884 | 3,019 | $22,990 | 37d | 1,886 | 283 |
| Mitsubishi Triton | 1,816 | 3,719 | $29,990 | 60d | 2,133 | 659 |
| Nissan X-trail | 1,812 | 5,390 | $27,998 | 79d | 3,236 | 333 |
| Hyundai Kona | 1,795 | 3,961 | $29,490 | 54d | 2,261 | 398 |
| GWM Haval Jolion | 1,739 | 3,157 | $23,884 | 36d | 1,067 | 211 |
| Mazda CX-5 | 1,728 | 3,695 | $26,990 | 42d | 1,911 | 225 |
Electric share by state
electric cars as a share of cars with a stated powertrain, on the first and last recorded day of the period; states with 200 or more stated cars
| State | Stated cars at close | Electric at close | Share at start | Share at close | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSW | 37,533 | 2,642 | 6.5% | 7.0% | +0.5 pts |
| VIC | 32,584 | 2,777 | 8.1% | 8.5% | +0.4 pts |
| QLD | 31,693 | 2,446 | 7.2% | 7.7% | +0.5 pts |
| WA | 21,947 | 1,144 | 5.2% | 5.2% | -0.0 pts |
| SA | 9,099 | 669 | 6.8% | 7.4% | +0.6 pts |
| TAS | 4,577 | 359 | 7.4% | 7.8% | +0.4 pts |
| ACT | 1,887 | 153 | 7.9% | 8.1% | +0.3 pts |
| NT | 1,562 | 132 | 7.7% | 8.5% | +0.7 pts |
Days to sell by state and segment, 1 Sept to 30 Sept
| State | SUV | Wagon | Ute | Hatch | Sedan | Van | Coupe | Convertible | People mover | Bus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QLD | 26d1,660 | 26d870 | 26d961 | 18d592 | 21d354 | 21d83 | 25d70 | [u]10 | [u]1 | [u]5 |
| VIC | 36d1,637 | 28d744 | 29d582 | 22d540 | 21d330 | 32d122 | 23d57 | [u]10 | [u]14 | [u]2 |
| NSW | 27d1,359 | 25d719 | 25d628 | 19d507 | 21d263 | 28d63 | 28d44 | [u]3 | [u]4 | — |
| WA | 41d1,269 | 37d633 | 40d650 | 31d449 | 31d270 | 31d61 | 32d93 | [u]14 | — | [u]3 |
| SA | 28d463 | 23d168 | 30d184 | 23d115 | 16d73 | [u]10 | [u]7 | [u]1 | [u]1 | — |
| TAS | 38d308 | 26d169 | 41d202 | 20d109 | 31d44 | [u]19 | [u]9 | [u]2 | — | — |
| not stated | 53d33 | [u]11 | [u]17 | [u]8 | [u]6 | [u]1 | — | [u]1 | — | — |
| NT | [u]10 | [u]4 | [u]16 | — | [u]3 | — | [u]1 | [u]1 | — | — |
Source: turn_matrix over sold_car_fact, the period's proved exits.
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Spotlot, September 2026: Exits ran at 1,053 cars a day over 28 recorded days, down 24.3% on the previous calendar month (1,392 a day over 19 recorded); at least 23,708 of the month's 48,168 carry the seller's own proof of sale. 101,273 price cuts against 13,250 rises (median cut $1,000), counted once per car per day. Most repriced: Ford Ranger, 4,021 cuts. 233,979 listings monitored at close. Observed, never modelled. spotlot.io/reports/m-2026-09
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The week in the market, every Monday.
Sales proved, prices cut, what moved. Counted from the record, one email, no follow-ups.