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Volkswagen ID.4
29
cars monitored on market · 39 listings (dealer groups syndicate)
$54,997
median ask · used (15 listings)
5,613 km
median odometer · used
57.5d
median days to sell (8 sales)
15 used · 14 new · 10 demo. Asks mix drive-away and excluding-government-charges prices as advertised; the two differ by thousands and are not converted. Value one of these →
as at 10 Sept 12:25 UTCToday’s range · used asks, one price per car
asks mix drive-away and excluding-government-charges as advertised · pointing at a used car on the cloud below marks where it sits here
shaded = middle half ($52,490 to $59,990) · one price per car, n = 11
Price against odometer · n = 11 · 2025 only
used and demo stock only. New cars sit at zero kilometres on recommended retail and would wash the cloud out (14 excluded)
No fitted line: it needs six or more cars spanning at least 20,000 km before a slope is honest, the same rule the valuation applies before adjusting for odometer.
Comparables · the cars behind the cloud
showing the 11 lowest-odometer of 11 cars · drag across the cloud to pick an odometer window
| Year | Condition | Odometer | Ask | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | demo | 55 km | $69,990 | open |
| 2025 | demo | 1,501 km | $55,990 | open |
| 2025 | used | 1,511 km | $62,990 | open |
| 2025 | demo | 1,520 km | $61,990 | open |
| 2025 | demo | 1,525 km | $64,990 | open |
| 2025 | used | 4,520 km | $55,990 | open |
| 2025 | used | 5,525 km | $53,990 | open |
| 2025 | used | 5,613 km | $54,997 | open |
| 2025 | used | 6,405 km | $49,990 | open |
| 2025 | used | 6,503 km | $49,990 | open |
| 2025 | used | 7,132 km | $50,990 | open |
one row per physical car, the same cars the cloud plots. The brush filters this table only; the chart, its fit and its rung always use every car.
Evidence rung 1 of 2 · next rung needs km spread (km) 20,000, the 2025 slice has 7,111
The book · where dealers price, not where cars sell · all years
11 used asks on the board, under the 30 it takes to draw a distribution. The count is the content.
The vintage ladder · used asks by model year
a cross-section of today, not a price history: each row is where this year’s used cars are asked right now, one price per car, on one shared axis. Reading a row marks its median on the range above
Only 1 model year holds three or more priced used cars, and a ladder of one rung is not a ladder. The years table below still lists every year.
Aged stock · 180 days on the shelf · all years
split by condition because they age differently: aged new and demo stock is a factory pipeline story, aged used is the “nobody is buying this one” story, and blending them tells neither
demo: 10 dated listings · new: 10 dated listings · used: 6 dated listings. Under 30, so stated rather than drawn.
Time and sales · latest 40 events on this model
repricings, confirmed exits and relists. First-seen events are excluded, they are mostly our own coverage growing
A pre-registered test lives here: whether photo and description changes precede price cuts. It publishes, whichever way it falls, once the corpus holds 2,000 observed cuts.
The last fortnight · day by day
13 of 14 days recorded to 10 Sept, UTC; 3 Sept recorded nothing and is absent, never filled in. The same daily series the weekly report is built from.
4 Volkswagen ID.4s proved out over the fortnight
Cars whose exit the seller's own page proved, by UTC day, 28 Aug to 10 Sept · cars · n = 13 · as at 10 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · 3 Sept recorded nothing and is absent, never filled in
Source: daily_model_rollup, one row per recorded day.
15 price cuts over the fortnight
Price-cut events on this model's listings, by UTC day, 28 Aug to 10 Sept · cars · n = 13 · as at 10 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · 3 Sept recorded nothing and is absent, never filled in
Source: daily_model_rollup, one row per recorded day.
Median used ask held at $54,997 on the latest day
Median used ask as advertised, one price per car, by UTC day, 28 Aug to 10 Sept; drive-away and excluding-charges prices mixed as advertised · dollars · n = 13 · as at 10 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · 3 Sept recorded nothing and is absent, never filled in
Source: daily_model_rollup, one row per recorded day.
Confirmed sales · 9 cars · 63% cut before selling
Cars, not advertisements, and counted only once no listing of the car remains live anywhere we watch. A further 1 left this model's shopfronts without proof of a sale and are not counted here. 8 carry the seller's own listing date, which is what the median below is measured over.
| Year | Ask at delisting | Days advertised | Discounted first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | — | 56 | no |
| 2025 | $66,814 | 255 | yes |
| 2024 | $54,488 | not published | not published |
| 2025 | $62,990 | 108 | yes |
| 2025 | $62,990 | 4 | no |
| 2025 | $68,990 | 288 | yes |
| 2025 | $60,799 | 59 | yes |
| 2025 | $56,990 | 49 | yes |
| 2025 | $73,990 | 38 | no |
Aged by the seller’s own listing date, discount from the seller’s own tally. Our observation window is a fraction of a listing’s life, and measuring from it would flatter every number here.