← the terminal
Toyota RAV4
2,130
cars monitored on market · 3,729 listings (dealer groups syndicate)
$38,990
median ask · used (3,600 listings)
71,178 km
median odometer · used
24d
median days to sell (595 sales)
4.6
views per day per used car · the dealer site’s own counter over its own listing age · median of 1,808 cars
as at 10 Sept 12:25 UTC3,600 used · 8 new · 3 demo. Asks mix drive-away and excluding-government-charges prices as advertised; the two differ by thousands and are not converted. Value one of these →
as at 10 Sept 12:25 UTCToday’s range · used asks, one price per car
asks mix drive-away and excluding-government-charges as advertised · pointing at a used car on the cloud below marks where it sits here
shaded = middle half ($29,990 to $44,890) · one price per car, n = 1,968
By state · all years
one price per car within each state; a car advertised in two states sits on both shelves while the national median counts it once. State duty schedules differ, so part of any gap is government charges rather than the car.
Price against odometer · n = 2 · 2006 only
used and demo stock only. New cars sit at zero kilometres on recommended retail and would wash the cloud out (8 excluded)
Only 2 cars with both a price and an odometer for 2006 among the 800 most recently observed, too few to draw. The count is the content.
The book · where dealers price, not where cars sell · all years
every used ask in $1,000 buckets, one price per car · 14.6% sit in the $1,000 below a ten-thousand boundary, 7.1% in the $1,000 above it (1,968 cars)
Evidence rung 2 of 2
The vintage ladder · used asks by model year
a cross-section of today, not a price history: each row is where this year’s used cars are asked right now, one price per car, on one shared axis. Reading a row marks its median on the range above
Aged stock · 180 days on the shelf · all years
split by condition because they age differently: aged new and demo stock is a factory pipeline story, aged used is the “nobody is buying this one” story, and blending them tells neither
median 27 days advertised
demo: 3 dated listings · new: 4 dated listings. Under 30, so stated rather than drawn.
Time and sales · latest 40 events on this model
repricings, confirmed exits and relists. First-seen events are excluded, they are mostly our own coverage growing
A pre-registered test lives here: whether photo and description changes precede price cuts. It publishes, whichever way it falls, once the corpus holds 2,000 observed cuts.
The last fortnight · day by day
13 of 14 days recorded to 10 Sept, UTC; 3 Sept recorded nothing and is absent, never filled in. The same daily series the weekly report is built from.
1,126 Toyota RAV4s proved out over the fortnight
Cars whose exit the seller's own page proved, by UTC day, 28 Aug to 10 Sept · cars · n = 13 · as at 10 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · 3 Sept recorded nothing and is absent, never filled in
Source: daily_model_rollup, one row per recorded day.
1,888 price cuts over the fortnight
Price-cut events on this model's listings, by UTC day, 28 Aug to 10 Sept · cars · n = 13 · as at 10 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · 3 Sept recorded nothing and is absent, never filled in
Source: daily_model_rollup, one row per recorded day.
Median used ask held at $38,990 on the latest day
Median used ask as advertised, one price per car, by UTC day, 28 Aug to 10 Sept; drive-away and excluding-charges prices mixed as advertised · dollars · n = 13 · as at 10 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · 3 Sept recorded nothing and is absent, never filled in
Source: daily_model_rollup, one row per recorded day.
Confirmed sales · 819 cars · 57% cut before selling
Cars, not advertisements, and counted only once no listing of the car remains live anywhere we watch. A further 104 left this model's shopfronts without proof of a sale and are not counted here. 595 carry the seller's own listing date, which is what the median below is measured over.
| Year | Ask at delisting | Days advertised | Discounted first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $26,990 | not published | not published |
| 2024 | $39,990 | 13 | no |
| 2022 | $40,980 | 9 | no |
| 2012 | $12,990 | 0 | no |
| 2025 | $44,888 | 46 | yes |
| 2025 | $46,895 | 18 | no |
| 2020 | $39,850 | 20 | no |
| 2026 | $51,990 | 1 | yes |
| 2026 | $72,995 | 24 | yes |
| 2024 | $36,990 | 0 | no |
| 2018 | $23,888 | 53 | yes |
| 2024 | $51,869 | 34 | no |
Showing the 12 most recent of 819 confirmed sales.
Aged by the seller’s own listing date, discount from the seller’s own tally. Our observation window is a fraction of a listing’s life, and measuring from it would flatter every number here.