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Kia Carnival
1,585
cars monitored on market · 2,231 listings (dealer groups syndicate)
$37,990
median ask · used (1,359 listings)
80,613 km
median odometer · used
44d
median days to sell (295 sales)
3.4
views per day per used car · the dealer site’s own counter over its own listing age · median of 511 cars · new 1.2 (500) · demo 1.7 (93)
as at 10 Sept 12:25 UTC1,359 used · 708 new · 125 demo. Asks mix drive-away and excluding-government-charges prices as advertised; the two differ by thousands and are not converted. Value one of these →
as at 10 Sept 12:25 UTCToday’s range · used asks, one price per car
asks mix drive-away and excluding-government-charges as advertised · pointing at a used car on the cloud below marks where it sits here
shaded = middle half ($26,990 to $44,490) · one price per car, n = 937
By state
one price per car within each state; a car advertised in two states sits on both shelves while the national median counts it once. State duty schedules differ, so part of any gap is government charges rather than the car.
Price against odometer · n = 800 · all years
used and demo stock only. New cars sit at zero kilometres on recommended retail and would wash the cloud out (708 excluded) · showing the 800 most recently observed of 965
Comparables · the cars behind the cloud
showing the 12 lowest-odometer of 800 cars · drag across the cloud to pick an odometer window
| Year | Condition | Odometer | Ask | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | demo | 2 km | $74,831 | open |
| 2026 | demo | 6 km | $79,990 | open |
| 2026 | demo | 6 km | $78,990 | open |
| 2026 | demo | 6 km | $79,490 | open |
| 2026 | demo | 7 km | $79,890 | open |
| 2026 | demo | 7 km | $74,995 | open |
| 2026 | demo | 8 km | $77,990 | open |
| 2026 | demo | 8 km | $59,995 | open |
| 2026 | demo | 8 km | $72,995 | open |
| 2026 | demo | 10 km | $85,400 | open |
| 2026 | demo | 10 km | $77,990 | open |
| 2026 | used | 11 km | $68,990 | open |
one row per physical car, the same cars the cloud plots, which carries the 800 most recently observed of 965. The brush filters this table only; the chart, its fit and its rung always use every car.
Evidence rung 2 of 2
The book · where dealers price, not where cars sell
every used ask in $1,000 buckets, one price per car · 14.0% sit in the $1,000 below a ten-thousand boundary, 5.0% in the $1,000 above it (937 cars)
Evidence rung 2 of 2
The vintage ladder · used asks by model year
a cross-section of today, not a price history: each row is where this year’s used cars are asked right now, one price per car, on one shared axis. Reading a row marks its median on the range above
Aged stock · 180 days on the shelf
split by condition because they age differently: aged new and demo stock is a factory pipeline story, aged used is the “nobody is buying this one” story, and blending them tells neither
median 37 days advertised
median 66 days advertised
median 140 days advertised
Time and sales · latest 40 events on this model
repricings, confirmed exits and relists. First-seen events are excluded, they are mostly our own coverage growing
A pre-registered test lives here: whether photo and description changes precede price cuts. It publishes, whichever way it falls, once the corpus holds 2,000 observed cuts.
The last fortnight · day by day
13 of 14 days recorded to 10 Sept, UTC; 3 Sept recorded nothing and is absent, never filled in. The same daily series the weekly report is built from.
452 Kia Carnivals proved out over the fortnight
Cars whose exit the seller's own page proved, by UTC day, 28 Aug to 10 Sept · cars · n = 13 · as at 10 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · 3 Sept recorded nothing and is absent, never filled in
Source: daily_model_rollup, one row per recorded day.
792 price cuts over the fortnight
Price-cut events on this model's listings, by UTC day, 28 Aug to 10 Sept · cars · n = 13 · as at 10 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · 3 Sept recorded nothing and is absent, never filled in
Source: daily_model_rollup, one row per recorded day.
Median used ask held at $37,990 on the latest day
Median used ask as advertised, one price per car, by UTC day, 28 Aug to 10 Sept; drive-away and excluding-charges prices mixed as advertised · dollars · n = 13 · as at 10 Sept 2026, 08:50 pm AWST · 3 Sept recorded nothing and is absent, never filled in
Source: daily_model_rollup, one row per recorded day.
Confirmed sales · 346 cars · 41% cut before selling
Cars, not advertisements, and counted only once no listing of the car remains live anywhere we watch. A further 82 left this model's shopfronts without proof of a sale and are not counted here. 295 carry the seller's own listing date, which is what the median below is measured over.
| Year | Ask at delisting | Days advertised | Discounted first |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $32,990 | 24 | no |
| 2027 | $83,777 | 29 | no |
| 2026 | — | 0 | no |
| 2026 | $60,718 | 57 | no |
| 2024 | $39,490 | 11 | yes |
| 2025 | $47,999 | 48 | yes |
| 2026 | — | 0 | no |
| 2026 | $83,400 | 19 | no |
| 2027 | — | 50 | no |
| 2026 | $59,990 | 2 | no |
| 2023 | $34,990 | 98 | yes |
| 2020 | $39,888 | 84 | yes |
Showing the 12 most recent of 346 confirmed sales.
Aged by the seller’s own listing date, discount from the seller’s own tally. Our observation window is a fraction of a listing’s life, and measuring from it would flatter every number here.